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97% of countries will fall below replacement level fertility rates by the end of the century, according to a new study. Shrinking fertility rates pose economic challenges of workforces shrinking and aging populations. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementBy 2100, over 97% of countries will have fertility rates below the replacement level, a Lancet study forecasts. With the fertility rates expected to fall below the necessary replacement level to sustain population size over time, experts warn we are approaching a "demographically divided world."
Persons: Elon Musk, Organizations: Service, Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington's School of Medicine, Business
US' Harris to Visit Parkland Shooting Site, Push New Gun Laws
  + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( March | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +2 min
"Red flag" laws allow courts to issue "extreme risk protection orders" removing firearms from individuals considered at risk of harming themselves or others. As part of her visit, Harris will call for 29 other states that have no such laws to pass them and encourage 15 more states that have the laws to start using the available federal funds. Florida approved a red flag law after the 2018 shooting but has not used the federal funding, according to the official. Some advocates regard the red flag laws as violating their constitutional right to bear arms, while gun safety advocates point to some studies showing they can prevent some deaths. Republican candidate Donald Trump has previously supported red flag laws but opposed broader measures favored by Biden.
Persons: Trevor Hunnicutt, Kamala Harris, Harris, Marjory Stoneman, Joe Biden, University of Washington School of Medicine . Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School, White, Parkland, United, Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington School of Medicine ., Democrat, Republican Locations: Trevor Hunnicutt FORT LAUDERDALE , Florida, Parkland , Florida, Six U.S, Florida, United States
Falling fertility rates are set to spark a transformational demographic shift over the next 25 years, with major implications for the global economy, according to a new study. That would leave 49 countries — primarily in low-income regions of sub-Saharan Africa and Asia — responsible for the majority of new births. "Future trends in fertility rates and livebirths will propagate shifts in global population dynamics, driving changes to international relations and a geopolitical environment, and highlighting new challenges in migration and global aid networks," the report's authors wrote in their conclusion. That shifting demographic landscape will have "profound" social, economic, environmental and geopolitical impacts, the report's authors said. "As the workforce declines, the total size of the economy will tend to decline even if output per worker stays the same.
Persons: Asia —, Dr, Christopher Murray Organizations: Institute for Health Metrics, CNBC Locations: Saharan Africa, Asia, Chad, Niger, Tonga, Samoa, Asia's Tajikistan
There's been a lot of chatter about the mental health crisis since the Covid-19 pandemic. Attention to a long-time crisis The mental health crisis is nothing new. However, there has also been a growing awareness and acceptance of mental health illnesses over the past decade, said Canaccord Genuity analyst Richard Close. "There's been recognition that mental health has a significant impact on a person's overall health," he said. "This is the mental health moment," said Dr. Ken Duckworth, NAMI's chief medical officer and author of "You Are Not Alone: The NAMI Guide to Mental Health."
Persons: There's, Covid, Peter Micca, AbbVie, Emraclidine, Myers Squibb, Karuna, Marc Goodman, Canaccord, Richard Close, MacKenzie Scott, Ken Duckworth, NAMI, Deloitte's Micca, William Blair, Myles Minter, Minter, Auvelity, Leerink's Goodman, Ashwani Verma, Verma, Goodman, BioHaven, Cerevel, Neumora, tardive, David Song, BetterHelp, psychedelics Johnson, Johnson, Spravato, Blair's Minter, Axsome, Micca, Michael Bloom Organizations: Institute for Health Metrics, Deloitte, Cerevel Therapeutics, Karuna Therapeutics, Bristol Myers, Leerink Partners, Centers for Disease Control, National Alliance, Mental, Mental Health, Wall Street, Therapeutics, Neumora Therapeutics, UBS, Karuna, Cellular Therapies, Xenon Pharmaceuticals, Neurocrine Biosciences, Acadia Pharmaceuticals, Tema Neuroscience, Axsome Therapeutics, Acadia Healthcare, BetterHelp, CNBC, pharma, Cellular Locations: Covid, Bristol, XEN1101, Acadia, Tema
Bangkok, Thailand CNN —A teen suspected of shooting two people dead at an upscale shopping mall in Thailand has been charged with six counts including premeditated murder, police told CNN Wednesday. The 14-year-old boy was arrested on Tuesday shortly after the shooting rampage at the busy Siam Paragon mall in central Bangkok’s bustling commercial and tourist district. Thai Police General Torsak Sukvimol told reporters Tuesday the suspect “surrendered himself” after the shooting and still had ammunition when he was apprehended. Staff repair the glass doors of a furniture store where a 14-year-old suspect was apprehended after a shooting rampage in Bangkok. And the shooting of Chinese victims in downtown Bangkok may make some tourists think twice about traveling to Thailand.
Persons: Thailand CNN —, Kanchana Patarachoke, General Nakarin Sukhonthawit, ” Nakarin, Nakarin, Lauren DeCicca, , Torsak Sukvimol, , Thanamorn Noonart, Thanamorn, ” Thanamorn, Bangkok’s Pathum, “ it’s, Jack Taylor, Torsak, Lillian Suwanrumpha, Thailand ”, Srettha Thavisin, ” Srettha, Srettha Organizations: Thailand CNN, CNN, Siam Paragon, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Police, ” Police, Thai Police, Rajavithi Hospital, Video, Thai, Getty, Staff, Tourism Authority of, Survey, SAS, Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington’s Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Siam, Myanmar, Laos, Pathum Wan, Nakhon Ratchasima, Bangkok’s, Bangkok’s Pathum Wan, Thai, AFP, China, Southeast Asia, Tourism Authority of Thailand, Cambodia, Weibo, Switzerland, Philippines, Nong Bua Lamphu
Bangkok, Thailand CNN —Police in Thailand arrested a 14-year-old boy, after a shooting at a luxury shopping mall in the capital Bangkok on Tuesday left at least one person and five others injured, the Metropolitan Police Bureau said. ET) at the Siam Paragon Mall in Bangkok, Police Colonel Noppadol Thiammekha, Pathum Wan Police Chief told CNN on Tuesday. Bangkok Emergency Center revised an earlier death toll, which stated that three people were killed in the shooting. Siam Paragon shopping mall is seen empty, after people were evacuated from the scene of the shooting. “We saw all the people run, run, run, we didn’t understand what was happening,” Yahav said.
Persons: Noppadol Thiammekha, Pathum, Yutthana Setthanan, Yutthana, Lillian Suwanrumpha, Jack Taylor, Shir Yahav, , ” Yahav, ” Susinee, Srettha Thavisin Organizations: Thailand CNN — Police, Metropolitan Police Bureau, Local, Thailand’s, Investigation Bureau, Siam Paragon, Pathum Wan Police, CNN, Bangkok Emergency, Bangkok Emergency Center, Getty, People, Reuters, Survey, SAS, Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington’s, Twitter Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Siam, Chinese, AFP, Thai, Switzerland, Philippines, Southeast Asia, Nong Bua Lamphu
Over the past 100 years, the global population quadrupled, from two billion to eight billion. Some will inexcusably claim that restricting reproductive choice is a way to curb long-run population decline. If an inclusive, compassionate response to population decline emerges someday, it need not be in conflict with those values. It’s in no one’s hands to change global population trajectories alone. Six decades from now is when the U.N. projects the size of the world population will peak.
Persons: demographers, Wittgenstein, Spears, Grandma, humanity’s, They’ve, birthrates, everyone’s, It’s, it’s Organizations: Human, The Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington, University of Texas, Population Research, New York Times, White, won’t Locations: Vienna, Austin, United States, Europe, East Asia, Latin America, Guinea, Africa, China, Brazil, India, birthrates, Chile, Thailand, Canada, Germany, Japan, Saharan Africa, Israel
These health problems include heart problems, blood clots, diabetes, neurologic complications, fatigue and difficulties with mental health and have come to be known collectively as long Covid. That means long Covid creates a higher burden of disability than either heart disease or cancer, which cause about 52 and 50 DALYs for every 1,000 Americans, respectively, according to the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation’s Global Burden of Disease study. Studies have since shown that vaccination and early treatment can help curb long covid risk. That may have resulted in some people being included in the control group when they should have been in the infection group. “Our findings highlight the substantial cumulative burden of health loss due to long Covid, and emphasize the ongoing need for health care for those faced with long Covid,” said Al-Aly.
Persons: DALY, weren’t, , Ziyad Al, Aly, “ That’s, Dr, Sanjay Gupta, Al Organizations: CNN —, Institute for Health Metrics, Veterans Affairs, Louis Health Care, Nature, CNN, CNN Health
CNN —An American woman has been arrested in Sydney after arriving on a flight from Los Angeles with 24-carat gold-plated handgun packed in her luggage. Depending on the outcome, she could be removed from the country, according to the ABF. Australian Border Force officers detected the gun in the woman's luggage. Gun violence has reached record levels in the United States, which is the only nation in the world where civilian firearms outnumber people. The US also has more deaths from gun violence than any other developed country per capita.
Murray, director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, pointed out there were likely billions of omicron infections worldwide this year, but no new Covid variant has emerged, only subvariants of omicron. “That’s why I would put the risk as quite low that there is a dangerous new variant in China,” he said. The U.S., Japan and a few other countries this week subsequently announced new Covid testing requirements for travelers from China. China’s National Health Commission said Sunday it would stop releasing daily information on Covid infections and deaths. Covid testing is no longer mandatory in China.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina reopening: 'Small risk' of a new variant replacing omicron, research institute saysChristopher Murray of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation says "for a new variant to emerge and replace omicron, it has to have some very special characteristics."
BEIJING — It's unlikely that a dangerous new Covid-19 variant is spreading in China, said Dr. Chris Murray, Seattle-based director of a health research center at the University of Washington. His comments Friday on CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" come as U.S. health officials warned this week about the chance of a new Covid variant emerging in China's nationwide outbreak — and how Beijing's lack of transparency could delay detection of public health risks. Murray, director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, pointed out there were likely billions of omicron infections worldwide this year, but no new Covid variant has emerged, only subvariants of omicron. "That's why I would put the risk as quite low that there is a dangerous new variant in China," he said. Omicron is far more transmissible, but causes less severe disease, than when Covid first emerged in Wuhan, China, in late 2019.
Influencers and celebrities talking about mental health online is important, but can turn problematic when used as a marketing tool. Georgijevic | E+ | Getty ImagesOpen conversations about mental health are as important as ever — and social media influencers can play a key role in starting them. "I suffered from anxiety," "I suffered from alcohol addiction," "I suffered from mental health," were some examples. German mental health charity Deutsche Depressionsliga, which is run by and for those who have depression, released a statement titled "depression is not a marketing tool" in response. 'A duty of care'Simon Gunning, CEO at the British mental health charity Campaign Against Living Miserably, said that acting responsibly is most important when it comes to online conversations about mental health.
In fact, Covid-related deaths and hospitalizations have fallen in recent months, despite the emergence of new omicron subvariants that evade immunity from previous infections and vaccination. Full coverage of the Covid-19 pandemicAccording to NBC News data, Covid deaths have fallen consistently since Aug. 31, when the seven-day average of daily Covid deaths was at 571. The average number of Covid hospitalizations per day has decreased by 27.9% since Aug. 28, according to NBC News data. While Covid-related hospitalizations are not currently increasing, Gupta warns that they could during the winter as immunity, especially from previous infection, diminishes. Now, he said, "Covid deaths don't all look the same."
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWorld population growth will reduce due to climate change by 2060, top health expert saysChris Murray, director at Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, says the world's population growth will reduce due to climate change by 2060.
Social media users in Singapore are copy-pasting a text post which warns that the COVID-19 Omicron XBB variant, first discovered in August, is five times more “toxic” and has a higher mortality rate than the Delta variant. However, there is no evidence to support this, according to Singapore’s Ministry of Health. Likewise, the World Health Organisation (WHO) says current data does not suggest XBB is more deadly than Omicron, which itself is less lethal than Delta. There is, however, early evidence pointing at a higher reinfection risk, as compared to other circulating Omicron sublineages.”VERDICTFalse. There is no evidence the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB variant is more deadly or causes more severe COVID-19 than the Delta variant.
The public health emergency was initially declared in January 2020, when the coronavirus pandemic began, and has been renewed each quarter since. "That is not the moment you want to pull down the public health emergency." The officials said a lot of work remained to be done for the transition out of the public health emergency. The government has been paying for COVID vaccines, some tests, and certain treatments, as well as other care under the public health emergency declaration. When the emergency expires, the government will begin to transfer COVID healthcare to private insurance and government health plans.
In Arkansas, Covid patients are now almost half of the state’s adult intensive care unit beds, the highest rate in the nation. In Mississippi, 42 percent of adult ICU beds are filled with Covid patients, up from 20 percent four weeks ago. These are just two states where the share of Covid patients in ICUs are growing. The scale is based on the share of ICU hospital beds used by Covid patients. These maps show hospital ICU stress levels among adults and track how they have changed over time.
Oct 25 (Reuters) - Daily global COVID-19 infections are projected to rise slowly to about 18.7 million by February from the current 16.7 million aveage daily cases, driven by the northern hemisphere's winter months, the University of Washington said in an analysis. The increase in cases is not expected to cause a surge in deaths, the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) said. It forecast that global daily deaths would average 2,748 people on Feb. 1, compared with around 1,660 currently. IHME estimates that daily infections in the United States will increase by a third to more than a million, driven by students back in schools and cold weather-related indoor gatherings. A rapid increase in hospital admissions in Germany – the highest since the COVID outbreak in 2020 - remains an area of concern, it said.
Oct 25 (Reuters) - Daily global COVID-19 infections are projected to rise slowly to about 18.7 million by February from the current 16.7 million aveage daily cases, driven by the northern hemisphere's winter months, the University of Washington said in an analysis. The increase in cases is not expected to cause a surge in deaths, the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) said. It forecast that global daily deaths would average 2,748 people on Feb. 1, compared with around 1,660 currently. A surge in Germany has peaked already, it said in its report on Oct. 24. A rapid increase in hospital admissions in Germany – the highest since the COVID outbreak in 2020 - remains an area of concern, it said.
Bangkok, Thailand CNN —Thailand recoiled in horror Thursday after at least 36 people were killed, at least 24 of them children, in a massacre at a child care center in northeastern Thailand believed to be the country’s deadliest incident of its kind. Among the dozens of victims are Panya’s wife and stepson, whom investigators say he killed before taking his own life. “He also used a knife to stab both children and staff at the center,” Paisan said. Police General Damrongsak Kittiprapas said that the attacker “mainly used a knife” to kill the children. TPBS/ReutersMedics arrive at the child care center on Thursday, where more than 30 people, mainly children, were killed.
But disease experts said debating whether the pandemic is over overshadows a more important concern: the reality that Covid will remain a leading cause of death in the U.S. indefinitely. Since April, Covid deaths have stayed relatively flat, at a weekly average of around 300 to 500 per day. Predicting Covid's future death tollThe Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, or IHME, a research organization at the University of Washington that regularly models Covid deaths, predicts a decline in Covid deaths over the next two months. Covid death numbers could also fall if hospitals stop routinely testing people for the virus. Murray estimated that half of annual Covid deaths may fall into that category.
Some public health experts worry that political motives are driving the President's desire to declare the pandemic over, rather than protection of the public's health. It's a 9/11, week after week after week," said Gregg Gonsalves, an epidemiologist at the Yale School of Public Health. The World Health Organization recognizes a global health threat as something different: a public health emergency of international concern, or PHEIC. The US also recognizes a public health emergency. Covid-19 is still considered to be a public health emergency both domestically and around the world.
“There are definitely manufacturers stepping back without full confidence there will be a government or any market for Covid tests,” said Aspinall. Companies making Covid tests, equipment and supplies have also seen a hefty drop in Covid-related sales. The Biden administration had aimed to provide some stability to the Covid testing market by purchasing a steady supply of Covid tests to send to Americans for free. But Congress has failed to pass a Covid spending package that included $2 billion for testing, and last month the White House said it was ending its free Covid testing program. Abbott saw its Covid testing revenue decline by 29% in the most recent quarter, though its sales nearly doubled over the past year.
America’s relationship to gun ownership is unique, and its gun culture is a global outlier. It is then unsurprising that the US has more deaths from gun violence than any other developed country per capita. A 2019 study published in the British Medical Journal found that US states with more permissive gun laws and greater gun ownership had higher rates of mass shootings. A decade of gun violence, culminating with the Port Arthur massacre in 1996, prompted the Australian government to take action. Many countries around the world have been able to tackle gun violence.
Persons: Uvalde, , Zachary Elkins, Elkins, they’ve, Jason R, Silva, Joe Biden’s, St Louis ’ Whitney R, Rukmani Bhatia, , Jacinda Ardern Organizations: CNN, Kansas, Monterey Park ., Survey, SAS, Gallup, University of Texas, US, of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, Explosives, FBI, Shooting Sports Federation, European Union, Institute for Health Metrics, Washington , DC, El, Stanford University, William Paterson University, British Medical, Washington University, St Louis, Harris World Law, Inter, American, Human Rights, United Nations, Center for American Progress, Port, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, University of Washington, UN Locations: Kansas City . Lewiston, Monterey Park, Monterey Park . Orlando, Las Vegas . Newtown, Parkland, San Bernardino, Nashville . Louisville, United States, Switzerland, Falkland, Argentina, Yemen, Austin, Guatemala, Mexico, Canada, Australia, Washington ,, Brazil, Latin America, Caribbean, El Salvador, Venezuela, Colombia, Honduras, America, Belize, Panama, Greenland, California, American, Colorado , South Carolina, Texas, Washington, Port Arthur, South Africa, New Zealand, Christchurch, Britain, Plymouth, England, Geneva
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